Microsoft Corporation · MSFT

MSFT: The next test of AI growth is earning back the investment

Analysis date

Published

Key Takeaway

Neutral as of 2026-10-03. Monetization of Azure and Copilot has been confirmed, but at $517.2, the stock trades at 29.9 times annual EPS excluding investment gains and losses from OpenAI. Price attractiveness will improve if cash flow per share rises amid expanding investment.

What this report covers

  • Usage and subscription pricing translate into earnings
  • Capital expenditures absorb incremental cash generation

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